Writing · Nº 041065 essays
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Ideas from inside the work. Explore technology, entrepreneurship, and the practice of building things that last.
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Clear filtersEngineeringHow to Detect Manipulation in Prediction MarketsPrediction markets can be pushed to send a false signal or grab a headline. Here is how market manipulation works and how to detect and design against it.OperatingHow to Set Quorum Thresholds for Governance VotesSet a governance quorum too high and nothing passes; too low and a handful decide everything. Here is how to size quorum thresholds that make votes legitimate.EngineeringPrediction Market Design: Liquidity and FeesA prediction market with no liquidity gives useless prices. Here is how market design, liquidity provision, and fees decide whether your odds mean anything.StrategyToken-Weighted Voting vs One Person One VoteToken-weighted voting rewards stake; one person one vote rewards headcount. Here is how to pick the right governance model for what your community is deciding.EngineeringWrite Market Resolution Questions That Hold UpMost prediction market disputes trace back to a sloppy question. Here is how to write a market resolution question that resolves cleanly and cannot be argued.StrategyQuadratic Voting: When It Actually Makes SenseQuadratic voting lets people express how much they care, not just what they prefer. Here is when it beats one-person-one-vote and when it quietly fails.